Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000695 0.000796 0.000903 0.001025 0.001160 0.001303 0.001467
2025-02-16 0.000528 0.000666 0.000823 0.001013 0.001236 0.001487 0.001790
2025-02-23 0.000449 0.000604 0.000789 0.001022 0.001306 0.001638 0.002050
2025-03-02 0.000389 0.000554 0.000760 0.001030 0.001370 0.001778 0.002298
2025-03-09 0.000326 0.000493 0.000708 0.001000 0.001380 0.001846 0.002457
2025-03-16 0.000275 0.000440 0.000661 0.000971 0.001383 0.001904 0.002599
2025-03-23 0.000243 0.000408 0.000638 0.000969 0.001420 0.002002 0.002792
2025-03-30 0.000216 0.000381 0.000617 0.000968 0.001457 0.002099 0.002984
2025-04-06 0.000190 0.000352 0.000593 0.000958 0.001479 0.002175 0.003149
2025-04-13 0.000166 0.000323 0.000564 0.000940 0.001487 0.002231 0.003288
2025-04-20 0.000154 0.000313 0.000563 0.000961 0.001551 0.002363 0.003531
2025-04-27 0.000142 0.000301 0.000557 0.000975 0.001604 0.002481 0.003756
2025-05-04 0.000124 0.000277 0.000532 0.000958 0.001611 0.002537 0.003899
2025-05-11 0.000108 0.000254 0.000506 0.000937 0.001613 0.002583 0.004030
2025-05-18 0.000099 0.000244 0.000501 0.000949 0.001661 0.002698 0.004259
2025-05-25 0.000091 0.000233 0.000493 0.000956 0.001703 0.002803 0.004475
2025-06-01 0.000078 0.000212 0.000465 0.000928 0.001689 0.002825 0.004572
2025-06-08 0.000067 0.000192 0.000439 0.000899 0.001672 0.002842 0.004662
2025-06-15 0.000060 0.000182 0.000428 0.000898 0.001697 0.002922 0.004843
2025-06-22 0.000054 0.000172 0.000418 0.000897 0.001724 0.003004 0.005029
2025-06-29 0.000048 0.000161 0.000404 0.000888 0.001736 0.003063 0.005182
2025-07-06 0.000042 0.000149 0.000387 0.000870 0.001732 0.003099 0.005300
2025-07-13 0.000039 0.000146 0.000389 0.000891 0.001793 0.003235 0.005572